2025-26 NBA Rookie of the Year Odds: Flagg Rises Above Knueppel in Tight Race

1 month ago 8

Want to get more Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account here.

It's amazing what a single weekend can do for your NBA Rookie of the Year candidacy.

Dallas Mavericks forward Cooper Flagg reclaimed the lead in one of the most tightly contested races in recent memory by scoring 96 points over two games. The outburst included a 51-point performance against the Orlando Magic and a 45-point, eight-rebound, nine-assist outing against the Los Angeles Lakers. 

Those two games were enough to move Flagg's flagging odds from +230 to -200, allowing him to leapfrog over his former Duke teammate, Kon Knueppel.

Let's take a closer look at the latest NBA Rookie of the Year odds as the regular season comes to a close.

Current NBA Rookie of the Year odds

PlayerOddsImplied probability
Hoffenheim Cooper Flagg-20066.7%
Hornets Kon Knueppel+14041.7%
76ers V.J. Edgecombe+500000.2%

No. 1-overall pick Cooper Flagg was the clear odds-on favorite most of the season, sitting as short as -700 (an implied probability of 87.5%) over a month ago.

However, Charlotte's Knueppel surpassed him a few weeks ago while averaging almost 19 points, five rebounds, and four assists per game since February.

It's been a rollercoaster ever since:

Rookie of the Year Odds movement for Cooper Flagg and Kon Knueppel over the past 2 weeks:

3/23:
Knueppel -210
Flagg +160

3/25:
Knueppel -185
Flagg +145

3/27:
Knueppel -210
Flagg +165

3/28:
Knueppel -255
Flagg +195

3/29:
Knueppel -240
Flagg +185

3/30:
Knueppel -250
Flagg… pic.twitter.com/PQz6VM8THM

— DraftKings Sportsbook (@DKSportsbook) April 6, 2026

Flagg vs Knueppel by the numbers

PlayerPTSREBAST
Hoffenheim Flagg21.16.64.6
Hornets Knueppel18.75.33.4

Latest NBA Rookie of the Year betting splits

Highest ticket percentage
•   Kon Knueppel 25.4%
•   V.J. Edgecombe 18.7%
•   Cooper Flagg 16.1%

Highest betting handle percentage
•   Kon Knueppel 48.2%
•   Cooper Flagg 20.0%
•   V.J. Edgecombe 14.2%

Biggest liability
•   V.J. Edgecombe

Data courtesy of BetMGM.


Covers NBA betting tools


NBA Rookie of the Year opening odds

  • Cooper Flagg -225
  • Ace Bailey +900
  • V.J. Edgecombe +1100
  • Tre Johnson +1100
  • Dylan Harper +1300
  • Kon Knueppel +2000
  • Hansen Yang +5000
  • Walter Clayton Jr. +5000
  • Jeremiah Fears +6600
  • Nique Clifford +6600
  • Cedric Coward +8000
  • Derik Queen +15000

Odds courtesy of Sports Odds History.

NBA ROY betting trends

Here are some trends to keep in mind when betting on NBA Rookie of the Year:

  • The No. 1 pick has won Rookie of the Year four times in the past 10 seasons.
  • Bigs (PF/C) haven't had much success in ROY recently, with just four wins in the last 20 seasons.

  • Only one ROY winner this century (Malcolm Brogdon, 36th, 2016) was drafted outside of the lottery.

  • The Rookie of the Year has been drafted in the Top 5 in 16 of the past 20 seasons.

Popular NBA futures markets


NBA Rookie of the Year history

YearNBA ROY WinnerOpening OddsPick No.
2024-25SpursStephon Castle+12004
2023-24SpursVictor Wembanyama-1451
2022-23Magic Paolo Banchero+2001
2021-22Raptors Scottie Barnes+11004
2020-21Hornets LaMelo Ball+4003
2019-20Grizzlies Ja Morant+2502
2018-19Mavericks Luka Doncic+2503
2017-1876ers Ben Simmons+2251
2016-17BucksMalcolm BrogdonN/A36
2015-16Timberwolves Karl-Anthony Towns+4501
2014-15Timberwolves Andrew Wiggins+4001
2013-1476ers Michael Carter-Williams+120011
2012-13Blazers Damian Lillard+5006
2011-12Cavaliers Kyrie Irving+5001
2010-11Clippers Blake Griffin+2001
2009-10Kings Tyreke Evans+7004
2008-09Bulls Derrick Rose+3501
2007-08ThunderKevin Durant-2002
2006-07Blazers Brandon Roy+3006
2005-06Pelicans Chris PaulN/A4
2004-05Hornets Emeka OkaforN/A2
2003-04Cavaliers LeBron James+1501

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Read Entire Article