Kalshi World Cup champion update: France holds highest probability ahead of quarterfinals

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France's Kylian Mbappe (10) celebrates after scoring from a penalty kick the opening goal during the World Cup round of 16 soccer match between Paraguay and France in Philadelphia, Saturday, July 4, 2026.

The 2026 World Cup opened with a 48-team field, the most in tournament history. With group play and two knockout rounds in the rearview mirror, only eight teams remain heading into the quarterfinals.

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Kalshi World Cup champion update: France holds highest probability ahead of quarterfinals

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