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Our NBA player prop projections are set for tonight’s Western Conference clash between the San Antonio Spurs and Golden State Warriors, with the model pinpointing several standout opportunities.
By analyzing the data and comparing it to current market lines, we’ve uncovered the bets with the highest value.
These Spurs vs. Warriors predictions aren’t guesswork — they’re driven by the numbers.
For those building their cards, here are the model’s top NBA picks for Wednesday, April 1.
Spurs vs Warriors computer picks for April 1
| Wembanyama u25.5 points -105 | Podziemski u17.5 points -115 |
| Fox u5.5 assists +115 | Green o5.5 rebounds -110 |
| Wembanyama o11.5 rebounds -120 | Santos o1.5 3-pointers -190 |
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Spurs computer picks
Victor Wembanyama Under 25.5 points (-105)
Projection: 25.4 points
The Golden State Warriors have played at the seventh-slowest pace in the NBA over their last 25 games, which should limit possessions for the San Antonio Spurs and slightly cap Victor Wembanyama’s scoring upside.
Wemby has also gone Under in 5 of his last 10 games at a 25.5-point line, reinforcing the potential for a more muted scoring output in this matchup.
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De'Aaron Fox Under 6.5 assists (+115)
Projection: 5.5 assists
De'Aaron Fox has gone Under 6.5 assists in 7 of his last 10 games, and this matchup against the Warriors sets up for that trend to continue.
Against the Warriors, pace is a key factor. Golden State's slower tempo reduces overall assist opportunities. Fewer trips up and down the floor make it harder for Fox to rack up counting stats in the playmaking department.
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Victor Wembanyama Over 11.5 rebounds (-120)
Projection: 12.4 rebounds
The Spurs rank fourth in the league in offensive rebounding over their last five road games, and Wemby has been the most consistent presence on the glass, going Over 11.5 rebounds in 7 of his last 10 outings.
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Warriors computer picks
Brandin Podziemski Under 17.5 points (-115)
Projection: 17.4 points
Given the Warriors’ pace of play, Brandin Podziemski could fall just short of clearing his points prop, especially after going Under in 4 of his last 10 games at a 17.5-point line.
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Draymond Green Over 5.5 rebounds (-110)
Projection: 6.8 rebounds
The Warriors have ranked as the third-best offensive rebounding team in the league over their last 15 games, and Draymond Green stands to benefit from those extra opportunities on the glass, having gone Over 5.5 rebounds in 4 of his last 10 games.
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Gui Santos Over 1.5 3-pointers (-190)
Projection: 2.4 3-pointers
The Spurs have operated at the ninth-fastest pace in the league over their last five games, which should create additional possessions for the Warriors and more chances for Gui Santos to connect from deep, especially after going Over 1.5 three-pointers in 5 of his last 10 games.
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How to watch Spurs vs Warriors tonight
| Location | Chase Center, San Francisco, CA |
| Date | Wednesday, April 1, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Not intended for use in MA.
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